"I speak the language of the tables. At roulette there may be a long run on the black — but in the end red must turn up. It is the mathematical laws of chance."
"You mean that luck turns?"
"Exactly, Hastings. And that is where the gambler (and the murderer, who is, after all, only a supreme kind of gambler since what he risks is not his money but his life) often lacks intelligent anticipation. Because he has won he thinks he will continue to win! He does not leave the tables in good time with his pockets full.
So in crime the murderer who is successful cannot conceive the possibility of not being successful! He takes to himself all the credit for a successful performance — but I tell you, my friends, however carefully planned no crime can be successful without luck!"