The idea that the future is... «Thinking, Fast and Slow»
innashpitzberg25 апреля 2016The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained. As Nassim Taleb pointed out in The Black Swan, our tendency to construct and believe coherent narratives of the past makes it difficult for us to accept the limits of our forecasting ability.
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